2010: unsecured debt amongst poorest households goes up

by on January 26th, 2011

People with the lowest incomes saw their indebtedness rise last year (2010), unlike every other income group where indebtedness appears to have slowly, but steadily fallen since 2005, according to ClearDebt’s debt worriers’ data (more than 59,000 records of people in debt).

According to data from CreditAction British household’s unsecured debt peaked in 2008 (£9,663) and has declined since (£8,556) – note that the figure is much higher if you eliminate households that have no unsecured debt. CreditAction’s data is the broad pink line in the chart below (and relates to the right-hand axis).

Debt to Income ratio against unsecured debtClearDebt’s data shows that those seeking our advice who had take home incomes of less than £10,000 (per anum) have consistently had a much higher unsecured debt to income ratio than any of the higher income groups. In fact, it’s bobbed around at just under 300% most of the time, apart from 2009 when the pressure eased a tiny bit – and just for a short while.

The data I’ve used this time includes both unemployed and retired people and in my next blog I’ll look at debt to income by different “occupational” groups. I’ve also, at the suggestion of @Chris_Goulden tried to find external data to add context to ours. I Will continue to try to do this and am happy to have suggestions of sources we might use.

In this case, our data and external data show a marked contrast. CreditAction data shows unsecured debt rising over the period 2005-10 as a whole and peaking in 2008. ClearDebt’s enquirers’ data shows a steady decline in the ratio of debt to income – but with a flatter line in 2008. Average incomes in each band have pretty much flatlined over the period too, so the cause of this declining debt to income ratio certainly isn’t that people are earning more.

My feeling, just based on what we know about other aspects of debtor behaviour, is just that debtors are beginning to realise that letting debt fester doesn’t help anyone and that the “take action early” message is beginning to hit home. For me, this even helps explain why the ratio of debt to income isn’t changing amongst the lowest income groups: They don’t have the option of early action, simply because their debt, which will often be from door-step or short term (pay-day) loan providers is always with them – attached to interest rates that you can’t make headway into if you fall behind.

Home owners and personal debt.

by on January 24th, 2011

I’ve been looking at a sample of nearly 24,000 debt-worriers who are also home-owners and who approached us for advice between 2005 and 2010.

Home-owners have traditionally often used debt-consolidation as their preferred route for making credit card and unsecured debt more affordable: “The value of the house has gone up – let’s slap the credit cards on the mortgage” (it costs less per month, it might cost more in interest charges in the long run).

Well, in these straitened times, does that still apply? The answer is that things, in some cases may be looking a little rosier – but, for once, it seems the most well-off amongst us may have more to worry about than those at the bottom of the pay scale.

First, amongst our enquirers, average unsecured debt exceeded equity in 2008 and 2009. In 2010, equity rose and overtook debt once more – quite sharply in fact.

 level of debt vs equity

Over the period, the average unsecured debt owed by all enquirers has come down too – so there might be room for consolidation in theory. In practice, there isn’t – because the banks aren’t lending to anyone other than their best customers – and people with substantial debts don’t often fall into that category.

We looked at average property values too – arranging the data to show the average property price for each year amongst home owners whose take-home pay fell into 6 bands between <£10,000 and more than £50,000.

property values comparison

Not surprisingly, the less you earn, the less your house is worth. Possibly surprisingly (I really must go and look at some property websites) the properties losing the greatest proportion of their value were those owned by the wealthiest respondents. Between 2005 and 2010, properties owned by people earning more than £50K had declined in value by 13%. Properties owned by enquirers in the lowest two income bands (<£10K and £10-£20K) had actually risen (well only be a per cent or three - but they'd not declined).

The biggest issue, when it comes to using your house as a money-well for debt repayment, is negative equity: If your house is worth less than you paid for it, then debt-consolidation is never going to happen.

I think this issue is particularly significant because, for many years now, the better-off have assumed than, barring the odd hiccup, their house is always going to enable them to turn short term, expensive, unsecured debt into long term, affordable, mortgage debt.

Well, I suspect there is a small crisis waiting to happen here - Higher earners  who have made this assumption may well have increased their unsecured debt, just to make ends meet, over the last year or two, confident their property is going to bale them out.

Well, one in four of them won't be able to.

level of negative equity compared to earnings

I was really surprised by the chart above. Every income group except the highest, returned exactly the same result for each year we looked at. In 2010, therefore, 10% of every group except those that earned £50K-plus had a house that was worth less than they’d bought in for. In contrast, 23% of those in the highest income band had lost the ability to use their house to fund their other debt.

Is personal debt on the decline?

by on January 21st, 2011

A recent report by the Insolvency Service showed that levels of personal insolvency are starting to decline.

The Insolvency Service, the government agency responsible for administering the insolvency system in England and Wales, publishes data on the number of people entering into bankruptcies, individual voluntary arrangements and debt relief orders. They make their data publicly available on the official Insolvency Service website. In August last year ClearDebt published an info-graphic of their insolvency data which you can view here: Insolvency Statistics in Motion.

Their latest report indicates that despite a drop in the number of people entering formal insolvency procedures, the figures still remain relatively high.

ClearDebt’s Andrew Smith comments:

I suspect this is temporary – and could be more to do with times being hard – and having been hard for a while.

My view is that a certain amount of personal debt is the inevitable consequence of consumer credit, and we use credit to finance our lifestyles when we feel confident – and that financial shock then hits a number of us. So, when the economy gets going again and we feel good about spending we’ll sew the seeds of debt. 18 months – 2 years later, the personal insolvency figures will rise again.

The insolvency service data also showed how bankruptcy and other formal insolvency procedures such as IVAs (individual voluntary arrangements) affect different groups of people:

Pensioners

Levels of bankruptcy among men and women aged over-65 are the lowest in the UK, however figures are increasing and pensioners are the fastest growing group of bankrupt individuals in the UK. Bankruptcy within this age group has increased six times in a decade and at a 50% faster rate than for other age groups. It’s worth nothing that the average age of a bankrupt individual in the UK is 41, which is close to the average age of the population (39.5yrs).

Men vs Women

Men made up 60% of bankruptcies in 2009 but the proportion of women bankrupts is growing (from 29% in 2000, to 40% in 2009). Among women aged over-65, the rate of bankruptcy has grown even more sharply, over ten times between 2000 and 2009 and in London it is 43 times higher. Women in debt is something we’ve disussed on the ClearDebt blog before, to view some of our opinion pieces on this topic here: Women in Debt.

In the next few weeks we will be publishing some statistics from our client database of people in debt and comparing this to the UK averages. We have already published a comparison of household income which you can view here: Are people in debt the poorest in society already?

Debt. Always with us?

by on January 19th, 2011

Is debt always with us? Well, for some, it would appear so. One unfortunate debt worrier who came to us had debt that would take more than 694 years to repay!

I’ve been taking a look at the people on our database who say their income is bigger than their outgoings (ie those that aren’t bust) and trying to work out how much effort it would take to become debt free. Aside from our number one debtor (with seven centuries worth of credit card and unsecured loan repayments – our figures exclude mortgages) we had  14 enquiries from people whose debts would take more than a century to repay and 45 enquiries from people who would take more than 50 years – and our estimates are based on all interest and charges being frozen: So, these periods, in the real world, would be in debt for an awful lot longer. We shouldn’t get things out of proportion though – these were a handful of cases in the context of the sample of  50,113 employed and self-employed people I was working with.

Mind you, once you get into the nitty gritty of the sample, I do think there are some things worth worrying about. OK, technically, these people are able to make some contribution to their debt (unlike the last blog group I looked at last time, whose outgoings exceeded their income and who, therefore, were getting deeper in debt every month). But 6% of them would take (assuming interest and charges frozen) more than ten years to repay what they owe and 44% would take more than two years (arbitrary I know, but I reckon that having unsecured debt the principal alone of which will take you more than two years to repay using all your disposable income is probably a decent measure of “problem debt”). Here’s a chart with the figures in more detail.

the time it would take to repay debt - ClearDebt client sample

Looking across the sample and not just at the hard cases it is clear that the less you earn, the more difficult it is to repay your debt. Nothing new there I guess. However, I think it is worth noting, bearing in mind this sample is of people who were worried enough to approach ClearDebt for debt advice, the huge difference between the lowest and highest earners.

Average months it would take to repay debt categories by earnings - ClearDebt sample

Those who take home (after tax and NI) less than £10,000 a year would take, on average, 13 months to repay all their debt (assuming interest and charges were frozen and they used all their disposable income to do it). Those taking home more than £50,000 a year would, on average (and making the same assumptions) take just two months to become debt free. And they were still worried enough to seek our advice!

ClearDebt and The Daily Express Crusader help a woman in debt

by on January 17th, 2011

The Crusader column in The Daily Express recently came to ClearDebt for some advice on how to help a woman who felt she had been unfairly treated by her debt management company.

ClearDebt looked into the case of Elizabeth Bastow who had been paying into her debt plan for five years and still owed more than 50% of her initial debts. Her debt management company had not arranged with her creditors to freeze the interest on her debts and they had retained around £2,000 – £3,000 as their fee. Andrew Smith, Marketing Director at ClearDebt noted the following about her case:

If an IVA had been do-able, by August 2007 we have calculated Ms Bastow would have paid £12,000 and the remaining debt written off. As it was she still owed more than £11,000

Elizabeth is following up a formal complaint against her debt management company and in the meantime has taken up ClearDebt’s offer to help her with her debt problems by waiving their administration fee. She commented

I’m so grateful, it’s just wonderful to have people who care

You can read more about Elizabeth’s story on the Daily Express website here: The Debt Plan That Didn’t Pay Off and read more comments from the people we’ve helped on our client testimonials page: What people say about ClearDebt.

If you are in need of some debt advice get in touch by calling 0800 019 2095 or by taking the ClearDebt online debt analyser.

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